MONTHLY: Thunderbird Desktop — Support Spike Report

Generated 2024-09 … 2026-08 · monthly grain · trailing 24 months · 27704 questions · no AI (regex + traditional stats)

  • Volume: 27704 questions, 1154.3/month avg
  • Answered (non-creator): 21439/27704 (77%)
  • First-answer time (median): 3.3h (p25 0.9h / p75 11.8h)
  • Total volume trend: ▇█▇▇█▆▆▆▆▅▇▇▆▆▅▅▅▅▅▄▄▄▄▂

Reading spike timing: a spike dates when users piled in — a lagging signal, usually days after an incident’s onset and often near its resolution (e.g. the Jun 2023 Libero outage began ~Jun 14; the questions spiked Jun 19). Treat these as pain-cluster / triage signals, not real-time incident detection.

🔎 Want a bump that is not listed below? The sparklines here are static text. Open the interactive explorer, pick a grain / version / cause, and click any point to read that period’s questions — every period, not just the ones that cleared a threshold. Each spike row also links straight to its own bucket.

🚨 Engineering signal — version × cause spikes

Cause clusters over-represented in a specific Thunderbird version. The Signal column flags 🆕 new (cause never spiked before), ↗ spreading (known cause, new version), or ↻ recurring (chronic / seen before) — ranked new→spreading→recurring, then by lift. Click an ID to read it.

Signal Lift When Version × Cause Qs Served Example questions Trend
🆕 new 4.1× 2026-06 v151 × m:spectrum 12 100% ans · 15.8h 1585052 1585941 1586383 1586405 1586446 1586481 +6 · explore ↗ ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▂█▁▂
🆕 new 3.2× 2026-02 v148 × proto:oauth 5 100% ans · 4.4h 1567488 1567691 1567818 1567961 1568282 · explore ↗ ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▄█▂▁▁▁▁

📮 Cause-level spikes — provider / protocol / AV

Causes surging regardless of version vs a trailing month baseline — provider/ISP outages and protocol/AV issues. Not necessarily a Thunderbird bug, but worth a triage look. Ranked by magnitude.

Rise When Cause Qs Served Baseline Example questions Trend
49.0× 2025-08 av:bitdefender 49 100% ans · 2.6h 1.0 1528472 1528498 1528506 1528543 1528577 1528582 +43 · explore ↗ ▂▁▁▁▃▁▁▁▁▁▁█▂▂▂▁▁▁▂▁▁▁▁▁
7.0× 2024-12 m:orange 14 ⚠️ 50% ans · 0.6h 2.0 1476744 1477337 1477350 1477378 1477476 1477498 +8 · explore ↗ ▄▃▅█▇▅▄▂▃▃▅▄▃▃▃▃▁▃▃▂▁▄▁▁
6.8× 2025-01 av:bitdefender 17 88% ans · 3.4h 2.5 1482921 1484507 1484717 1485005 1485049 1485835 +11 · explore ↗ ▂▁▁▁▃▁▁▁▁▁▁█▂▂▂▁▁▁▂▁▁▁▁▁
6.0× 2025-08 m:btinternet 9 89% ans · 10.7h 1.5 1528543 1528732 1528856 1528919 1529008 1529260 +3 · explore ↗ ▆▄▄▅▄▆▂▃▂▃▂█▄▃▃▅▄▆▂▄▄▄▆▁
5.3× 2025-12 m:gmx 8 88% ans · 17.0h 1.5 1552704 1553040 1555220 1555687 1556443 1556657 +2 · explore ↗ ▁▂▃▅▃▂▂▁▁▁▁▂▃▂▁▅▂▃█▃▂▂▃▁
5.0× 2025-07 m:verizon 10 80% ans · 3.0h 2.0 1520698 1522140 1523889 1523914 1524787 1524985 +4 · explore ↗ ▃▃▅▅▂▃▂▂▁▄█▃▂▄▇▃▁▁▂▂▄▂▂▂
4.3× 2026-03 m:gmx 15 87% ans · 11.2h 3.5 1568896 1569586 1569730 1570170 1570366 1570603 +9 · explore ↗ ▁▂▃▅▃▂▂▁▁▁▁▂▃▂▁▅▂▃█▃▂▂▃▁
3.2× 2025-07 av:norton 8 75% ans · 2.1h 2.5 1521509 1521569 1522509 1523331 1523343 1523519 +2 · explore ↗ ▅▄▅▃█▃▄▂▂▂▆▅▃▃▂▂▂▂▂▂▃▂▃▁
3.0× 2024-09 proto:oauth 66 82% ans · 1.7h 22.0 1461626 1462076 1462199 1462200 1462785 1462816 +60 · explore ↗ █▆▄▄▄▂▃▃▂▂▃▃▂▃▃▂▃▃▅▂▃▂▃▁

Top versions

Value Total Trend
v140 967 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▄▅▇█▇▇▂
v150 434 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▄█▁▂▁
v152 375 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▆█▁
v151 332 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▆█▁▁
v149 313 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▂█▂▁▁▁
v153 256 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▆█

Top mail providers

Value Total Trend
m:gmail 2467 ██▇▇▇▆▆▆▅▄▅▆▆▅▅▅▅▄▅▄▄▃▄▂
m:microsoftemail 1988 ██▆▅▅▅▄▄▃▃▄▄▄▅▄▄▄▄▄▃▄▃▂▂
m:yahooemail 811 ▆▅▄▅▆▃▄▃▃▄▇▆▆▆▇▄▄▇█▅▆▄▅▃
m:comcast 348 ▆▆▆▅▆▄▅▄▄▃▃█▄▄▆▅▂▃▃▅▄▄▄▂
m:spectrum 279 █▇▄▅▅▇▅▅▅▅▅▆▆▃▇▅▄▆▃▃██▃▂
m:att 189 ▄▄▅██▅▃▃▅▃▇▇▃▂▄▆▃▃▅▃▂▂▃▁

Top protocols

Value Total Trend
proto:imap 1899 █▇▇██▇▅▅▅▄▆▆▅▆▅▄▅▄▅▃▅▄▄▂
proto:smtp 1204 █▇▇▅▇▅▅▅▅▄▅▇▅▄▄▃▅▅▅▃▄▃▄▂
proto:pop 1192 █▇█▆█▆▄▅▅▅▆▇▅▆▄▃▅▄▄▄▄▃▅▂
proto:oauth 483 █▆▄▄▄▂▃▃▂▂▃▃▂▃▃▂▃▃▅▂▃▂▃▁
proto:caldav 97 ▅▆▆▅█▃▃▃▆▅▆▄▃▄▂▃▅▆▃▃▂▃▃▁
proto:carddav 53 ▃▄▅▃▄▂▇▃▂▁▃█▂▃▃▂▂▄▅▄▂▂▂▁

Top antivirus

Value Total Trend
av:bitdefender 116 ▂▁▁▁▃▁▁▁▁▁▁█▂▂▂▁▁▁▂▁▁▁▁▁
av:norton 89 ▅▄▅▃█▃▄▂▂▂▆▅▃▃▂▂▂▂▂▂▃▂▃▁
av:defender 51 ▄▂█▃▂▃▂▃▃▁▃▃▃▃▃▁▁▂▃▂▄▄▃▁
av:avast 50 ▅▂▇▄▅█▄▅▂▁▅▁▁▄▇▂▅▂▂▇▄▄▄▂
av:mcafee 32 ▁█▃▆▃▃▃▆█▃▃█▆█▁▁▁▃▃▆▆▃▃▁
av:kaspersky 22 ▆▆▃▁▅▁▃▁▆▅▁█▁▃▃▁▁▃▁▁▁▁▁▁

OS mix (filter dimension)

Value Total Trend
os:windows 6759 ▂▃▃▂▃▂▂▂▂▂▃▃▂▃▂▂▅██▇▇▇▇▃
os:linux 1225 ▆▆▆▅▆▅▃▄▅▄▃▅▅▄▄▄▆▇█▆▇▆▆▄
os:macos 832 ▄▄▃▃▃▄▃▃▃▂▄▄▄▂▄▂▆▇█▆▆▅▅▃
os:other 128 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁█▄▂▁▂▃▃▂
os:android 88 ▁▂▁▁▂▂▂▂▁▂▃▃▁▂▂▁▇█▇█▅▃▅▄

macOS releases (filter dimension)

Value Total Trend
macos:sequoia 156 ▃▅▆▅█▇▅▅▅▁▇▇▇▂▅▃▄▃▃▂▃▁▂▁
macos:sonoma 53 █▅▃▃▂▃▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▃▂▃▁▁▁▂▁▁▁
macos:tahoe 52 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▆▅█▇▇▆▆▂▃▅▆▃
macos:catalina 36 ▃▅▃▂▄▁▂▂▂▁█▆▄▂▂▁▂▁▂▂▂▁▁▁
macos:monterey 32 ▆▅▅▅▅▅█▃▃▁▃▃▅▁▅▃▃▁▁▃▃▁▃▅
macos:high_sierra 28 ▄█▄▂▁▇▂▁▇▁▂▂▂▁▂▂▄▁▁▁▁▄▁▁

Notes: spikes detected at monthly grain (coarser grains catch slow-burn incidents a daily threshold misses — e.g. the March 2026 GMX provider outage). Volume / cause / OS trends span the full scraper history (2023-01+). Version×cause covers 2026-02 onward — the native thunderbird_version field (Kitsune PR #7443) is only populated from Feb 2026 (~27% → 85% by mid-2026), so earlier questions carry no version; cause-level spikes use all history. Thresholds calibrated on the post-backfill baseline. Full IDs per spike in PROJECT1/desktop-monthly-version-cause-spikes.csv (version×cause) and PROJECT1/desktop-monthly-single-spikes.csv (cause-level); full series in PROJECT1/desktop-monthly-rollup.csv.

Last updated: 2026-08-09 16:47 UTC