QUARTERLY: Thunderbird Desktop — Support Spike Report

Generated 2023-Q4 … 2026-Q3 · quarterly grain · trailing 12 quarters · 40495 questions · no AI (regex + traditional stats)

  • Volume: 40495 questions, 3374.6/quarter avg
  • Answered (non-creator): 30627/40495 (76%)
  • First-answer time (median): 3.5h (p25 1.0h / p75 12.3h)
  • Total volume trend: ▇▆▅██▇▆▇▆▅▄▂

Reading spike timing: a spike dates when users piled in — a lagging signal, usually days after an incident’s onset and often near its resolution (e.g. the Jun 2023 Libero outage began ~Jun 14; the questions spiked Jun 19). Treat these as pain-cluster / triage signals, not real-time incident detection.

🔎 Want a bump that is not listed below? The sparklines here are static text. Open the interactive explorer, pick a grain / version / cause, and click any point to read that period’s questions — every period, not just the ones that cleared a threshold. Each spike row also links straight to its own bucket.

🚨 Engineering signal — version × cause spikes

Cause clusters over-represented in a specific Thunderbird version. The Signal column flags 🆕 new (cause never spiked before), ↗ spreading (known cause, new version), or ↻ recurring (chronic / seen before) — ranked new→spreading→recurring, then by lift. Click an ID to read it.

Signal Lift When Version × Cause Qs Served Example questions Trend
🆕 new 4.1× 2026-06 v151 × m:spectrum 12 100% ans · 15.8h 1585052 1585941 1586383 1586405 1586446 1586481 +6 · explore ↗ ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁█▂
🆕 new 3.2× 2026-02 v148 × proto:oauth 5 100% ans · 4.4h 1567488 1567691 1567818 1567961 1568282 · explore ↗ ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁█▁▁

📮 Cause-level spikes — provider / protocol / AV

Causes surging regardless of version vs a trailing month baseline — provider/ISP outages and protocol/AV issues. Not necessarily a Thunderbird bug, but worth a triage look. Ranked by magnitude.

Rise When Cause Qs Served Baseline Example questions Trend
49.0× 2025-08 av:bitdefender 49 100% ans · 2.6h 1.0 1528472 1528498 1528506 1528543 1528577 1528582 +43 · explore ↗ ▂▂▁▂▂▄▂█▂▂▂▂
30.0× 2023-10 m:frontier 15 ⚠️ 53% ans · 7.9h 0.5 1426135 1426500 1426532 1426537 1426556 1426687 +9 · explore ↗ █▂▂▂▄▂▂▂▂▁▂▁
7.0× 2024-12 m:orange 14 ⚠️ 50% ans · 0.6h 2.0 1476744 1477337 1477350 1477378 1477476 1477498 +8 · explore ↗ ▂▂▂▃██▃▆▄▄▃▁
6.8× 2025-01 av:bitdefender 17 88% ans · 3.4h 2.5 1482921 1484507 1484717 1485005 1485049 1485835 +11 · explore ↗ ▂▂▁▂▂▄▂█▂▂▂▂
6.0× 2025-08 m:btinternet 9 89% ans · 10.7h 1.5 1528543 1528732 1528856 1528919 1529008 1529260 +3 · explore ↗ ▃▆██▆▆▃▇▅▆▆▃
6.0× 2024-05 m:cox 24 92% ans · 3.9h 4.0 1446257 1446337 1446412 1446501 1446525 1446535 +18 · explore ↗ ▂▂█▃▂▂▂▂▁▁▁▁
6.0× 2024-04 m:cox 24 83% ans · 6.2h 4.0 1443922 1444186 1444249 1444457 1444635 1444650 +18 · explore ↗ ▂▂█▃▂▂▂▂▁▁▁▁
5.3× 2025-12 m:gmx 8 88% ans · 17.0h 1.5 1552704 1553040 1555220 1555687 1556443 1556657 +2 · explore ↗ ▄▂▂▅▆▄▂▃▄█▄▂
5.0× 2025-07 m:verizon 10 80% ans · 3.0h 2.0 1520698 1522140 1523889 1523914 1524787 1524985 +4 · explore ↗ ▄▅▅█▆▄▃▇▇▁▃▂
4.5× 2024-06 m:verizon 9 89% ans · 34.0h 2.0 1448843 1448978 1450147 1450157 1450250 1450350 +3 · explore ↗ ▄▅▅█▆▄▃▇▇▁▃▂
4.4× 2024-06 m:att 20 80% ans · 3.4h 4.5 1448967 1449518 1450074 1450110 1450112 1450120 +14 · explore ↗ ▇▃█▇█▇▅█▅▅▃▂
4.3× 2026-03 m:gmx 15 87% ans · 11.2h 3.5 1568896 1569586 1569730 1570170 1570366 1570603 +9 · explore ↗ ▄▂▂▅▆▄▂▃▄█▄▂
4.0× 2024-06 m:cox 16 81% ans · 1.9h 4.0 1448821 1448920 1449059 1449124 1449230 1449525 +10 · explore ↗ ▂▂█▃▂▂▂▂▁▁▁▁
3.6× 2024-07 proto:oauth 49 88% ans · 1.7h 13.5 1451249 1451303 1451325 1451346 1451376 1451397 +43 · explore ↗ ▃▂▄█▅▃▃▃▃▄▃▂
3.6× 2024-07 m:att 16 69% ans · 1.6h 4.5 1451218 1451269 1451284 1451307 1451574 1451715 +10 · explore ↗ ▇▃█▇█▇▅█▅▅▃▂
3.2× 2025-07 av:norton 8 75% ans · 2.1h 2.5 1521509 1521569 1522509 1523331 1523343 1523519 +2 · explore ↗ ▃▂▅█▆█▃▇▃▃▄▂
3.2× 2024-07 m:virginmedia 8 75% ans · 4.9h 2.5 1451235 1451251 1451478 1451612 1451720 1452048 +2 · explore ↗ ▃▅▅█▅▆▂▃▃▃▃▂
3.1× 2024-08 av:defender 11 64% ans · 2.2h 3.5 1456877 1457294 1457557 1457806 1457949 1458157 +5 · explore ↗ ▅▇▄█▅▃▂▄▂▂▄▂
3.1× 2024-05 m:att 14 71% ans · 2.5h 4.5 1446408 1446596 1446656 1447039 1447055 1447077 +8 · explore ↗ ▇▃█▇█▇▅█▅▅▃▂
3.0× 2024-09 proto:oauth 66 82% ans · 1.7h 22.0 1461626 1462076 1462199 1462200 1462785 1462816 +60 · explore ↗ ▃▂▄█▅▃▃▃▃▄▃▂

Top versions

Value Total Trend
v140 967 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▄█▄
v150 434 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁█▂
v152 375 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▆█
v151 332 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁█▁
v149 313 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▂█▁
v153 256 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁█

Top mail providers

Value Total Trend
m:gmail 3715 ▆▆▅██▆▅▆▅▅▄▂
m:microsoftemail 3011 ▅▅▄█▇▅▄▅▄▄▄▂
m:yahooemail 1165 ▅▄█▇▆▅▄█▇█▆▃
m:comcast 523 ▅▇▆██▇▅▇▇▃▆▃
m:spectrum 439 █▆▄▇▅▆▅▆▅▄▆▂
m:att 297 ▇▃█▇█▇▅█▅▅▃▂

Top protocols

Value Total Trend
proto:imap 2864 ▆▆▆██▇▅▆▅▅▄▂
proto:smtp 1825 ▆▆▆█▇▆▅▆▄▅▃▂
proto:pop 1801 ▅▅▄█▇▆▅▆▅▄▄▃
proto:oauth 715 ▃▂▄█▅▃▃▃▃▄▃▂
proto:caldav 137 ▆▆▃▆█▇▆▆▄▆▄▂
proto:carddav 75 ▄▅▅▇▇█▃█▅▇▅▂

Top antivirus

Value Total Trend
av:bitdefender 131 ▂▂▁▂▂▄▂█▂▂▂▂
av:norton 123 ▃▂▅█▆█▃▇▃▃▄▂
av:defender 102 ▅▇▄█▅▃▂▄▂▂▄▂
av:avast 82 ██▄▅▅▇▃▃▅▄▆▃
av:mcafee 37 ▅▂▂▁█▅██▅▃▇▂
av:kaspersky 34 ▇▅▂█▆▅▇▆▃▂▁▁

OS mix (filter dimension)

Value Total Trend
os:windows 8118 ▃▂▂▃▃▃▂▃▃██▄
os:linux 1703 ▆▅▄▆▆▅▅▅▅█▇▄
os:macos 1128 ▄▄▃▄▄▄▃▅▃█▇▃
os:other 130 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▁█▃▂
os:android 98 ▁▂▂▂▁▂▂▂▂█▆▄

macOS releases (filter dimension)

Value Total Trend
macos:sonoma 165 ▄▇▅█▃▂▁▁▂▂▁▁
macos:sequoia 156 ▁▁▁▂▆█▄█▄▃▂▁
macos:ventura 66 █▂▂▂▂▂▂▃▂▁▁▁
macos:monterey 56 ▆█▆▅▆▇▃▄▃▂▃▃
macos:tahoe 52 ▁▁▁▁▁▁▁▃██▄▄
macos:catalina 51 ▃▂▃▃▄▃▂█▂▂▂▁

Notes: spikes detected at monthly grain (coarser grains catch slow-burn incidents a daily threshold misses — e.g. the March 2026 GMX provider outage). Volume / cause / OS trends span the full scraper history (2023-01+). Version×cause covers 2026-02 onward — the native thunderbird_version field (Kitsune PR #7443) is only populated from Feb 2026 (~27% → 85% by mid-2026), so earlier questions carry no version; cause-level spikes use all history. Thresholds calibrated on the post-backfill baseline. Full IDs per spike in PROJECT1/desktop-monthly-version-cause-spikes.csv (version×cause) and PROJECT1/desktop-monthly-single-spikes.csv (cause-level); full series in PROJECT1/desktop-quarterly-rollup.csv.

Last updated: 2026-08-09 16:47 UTC